Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036547 0.039474 0.042547 0.046017 0.049832 0.053906 0.058592
2025-03-23 0.031527 0.035611 0.040134 0.045533 0.051829 0.058967 0.067715
2025-03-30 0.028147 0.032867 0.038309 0.045084 0.053351 0.063180 0.075854
2025-04-06 0.025391 0.030433 0.036432 0.044160 0.053942 0.066033 0.082302
2025-04-13 0.023868 0.029271 0.035882 0.044658 0.056143 0.070853 0.091439
2025-04-20 0.022396 0.028009 0.035046 0.044637 0.057558 0.074639 0.099402
2025-04-27 0.021386 0.027235 0.034731 0.045201 0.059699 0.079448 0.109069
2025-05-04 0.020201 0.026133 0.033885 0.044946 0.060639 0.082598 0.116556
2025-05-11 0.019188 0.025184 0.033162 0.044776 0.061631 0.085821 0.124342
2025-05-18 0.018247 0.024268 0.032413 0.044491 0.062396 0.088710 0.131792
2025-05-25 0.017459 0.023513 0.031832 0.044387 0.063384 0.091953 0.140010
2025-06-01 0.016568 0.022562 0.030914 0.043719 0.063451 0.093749 0.145989
2025-06-08 0.015671 0.021565 0.029886 0.042839 0.063150 0.094971 0.151168
2025-06-15 0.014974 0.020823 0.029191 0.042415 0.063523 0.097276 0.158374
2025-06-22 0.014336 0.020136 0.028537 0.042007 0.063878 0.099550 0.165693
2025-06-29 0.013630 0.019314 0.027639 0.041159 0.063450 0.100458 0.170592
2025-07-06 0.013309 0.019051 0.027571 0.041617 0.065192 0.105163 0.182895
2025-07-13 0.012891 0.018621 0.027223 0.041598 0.066117 0.108491 0.192879
2025-07-20 0.012627 0.018415 0.027209 0.042116 0.067984 0.113609 0.206823
2025-07-27 0.012207 0.017947 0.026761 0.041882 0.068512 0.116317 0.216185
2025-08-03 0.011829 0.017530 0.026372 0.041725 0.069159 0.119275 0.226328
2025-08-10 0.011451 0.017097 0.025938 0.041463 0.069593 0.121848 0.235889
2025-08-17 0.011129 0.016740 0.025611 0.041368 0.070320 0.125023 0.247052